TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the third quarter will be.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the third quarter of the Washington vs USC college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points, and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined third-quarter points exceed the respective threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading in this market. It’s common to see convergence between the two as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form or potential injuries.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter between Washington and USC is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The total points scored in the 3rd quarter will determine whether the ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ contract wins. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or USC would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also influence trader behavior. Finally, public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can sometimes spill over and affect trading volume and prices in this market.