TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds, offering various levels of difficulty for forecasting game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the Washington vs USC college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for resolution, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader perspective on the potential for points scored in the Washington vs USC 2nd quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Washington vs USC 2nd quarter will be above or below a certain threshold. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential score.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Washington vs USC game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or USC would likely have a significant impact, as would updates on weather conditions that could affect scoring. Late-breaking information about team strategies or defensive matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Even general public perception, amplified by social media, can contribute to price movements in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026.