TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Washington and USC specifically within the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Washington vs USC college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any given market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by exceeding the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover a range of point differentials for both teams, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of dominance in that specific quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market prices and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s a dynamic comparison, as both markets react to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second quarter spread of the Washington vs USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual spread at the end of the second quarter. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the established rules of the game.
Several factors could influence the Washington vs USC spread market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to evolving information and opinions.