TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Washington and USC. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Washington vs USC college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by exceeding the designated point margin for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can offer insights into public perception versus professional analysis of the Washington vs USC matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual first quarter spread of the Washington vs USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will be the determining factor for settling all outstanding contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the Washington vs USC spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also affect trading activity. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market as the game approaches.