TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Washington vs San Francisco: Winning Margin
kalshi

What is the result of Washington vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$253,810

San Francisco by 1 to 6

 - Kalshi

San Francisco by 1 to 6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 11:25 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco by 1 to 6

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,145
N/A
N/A
$29,646
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco by 7 to 14

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,432
N/A
N/A
$51,309
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco by 15 or more

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,335
N/A
N/A
$36,714
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington by 1 to 6

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,399
N/A
N/A
$28,218
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington by 15 or more

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,525
N/A
N/A
$20,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington by 7 to 14

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,640
N/A
N/A
$11,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,333
N/A
N/A
$10,333
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Washington and San Francisco, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different possible point differential range, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might win. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential between San Francisco and Washington in their full game, including overtime, scheduled for October 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the actual point differential matches the specified range for any given market: San Francisco winning by 0, 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points, or Washington winning by 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points. If the point differential exactly matches any boundary condition (e.g., 6 or 14 points), the corresponding market resolves as 'Yes.' All markets are independent, and only the market whose range is precisely met will resolve positively; all others resolve negatively. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Washington vs San Francisco game tracks the current price of contracts representing different winning margins. You’ll find a real-time price chart showing how the market is valuing each potential outcome, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $244,389. The total volume traded on this market is $253,810. This allows you to see how actively traders are buying and selling, providing insight into the perceived probability of various results for this matchup.

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise here. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins in the Washington vs San Francisco game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the collective prediction of the market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Washington vs San Francisco game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league and verified against widely available sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual winning margin, determining payouts for those who correctly predicted the result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about weather conditions, which could affect the game’s style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or prominent sports commentators, could impact trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities of different winning margins.