TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Antonio Williams or Jayden Daniels will each score at least one touchdown in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Antonio Williams a 39.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Jayden Daniels is at 9.0%. The market resolves based on whether Kaelon Black scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, as reported by the resolution source. Keep an eye on team practice reports leading up to October 19, 2026, to assess player availability and potential roles in the red zone.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the required number of touchdowns during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap, the outcome depends solely on the touchdowns they score, even if those plays are later nullified by penalties. Touchdowns scored during fake punts or field goal attempts by the offensive team are excluded from consideration. The markets are independent of each other and operate under these consistent conditions for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts based on their individual assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges, like player injuries or weather forecasts. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market often converge with those offered by sportsbooks, representing a collective prediction of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific outcome occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their valuations based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market's price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the total touchdowns scored.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Washington versus San Francisco game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their contracts following the game's completion and official data release.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or San Francisco would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running offenses, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could affect traders’ perceptions and drive price adjustments in this market.