TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. It focuses on how many rushing yards each selected player accumulates during the match. The outcome depends on the actual yardage achieved by these players.
The event consists of two separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the designated player, with payouts capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 400 yards. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the contract holder’s position size. For instance, if a player records 80 rushing yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; 200 yards would result in equal $0.50 payouts for both Yes and No; and zero yards would yield a $0.00 Yes payout and a $1.00 No payout. The markets operate independently, each resolving based solely on the rushing yards accumulated by its respective player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as traders incorporate unique perspectives on the potential outcomes of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the aggregated assessment of the event. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, providing insight into potential price movements and the overall level of interest in different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics for the Washington versus San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics released after the game concludes. The market will determine which rushing yardage ladder outcome was achieved, based on the final, official yardage totals. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are major catalysts, as they directly affect expected rushing yardage. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also shift the market, favoring teams with stronger passing games. Game-day news, like changes to offensive line starters or play-calling strategies, can also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could influence trading activity in this market.