TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses how effectively two key players perform in a specific football game by tying payouts to their rushing yard achievements. The structure rewards higher performance with progressively larger returns, creating a direct link between player statistics and financial outcome.
Contracts in this market pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in a specific Pro Football game. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase incrementally for every 10 rushing yards achieved, following a cubic scaling formula that accelerates rewards for higher yardage. The payout schedule ranges from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards. 'No' contracts receive $1.00 minus the 'Yes' payout, ensuring total returns for both positions sum to $1.00 per contract. Negative rushing yard totals result in a $0.00 payout for 'Yes' contracts. The formula calculates payouts using the official game statistics, capped at 200 yards for calculation purposes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. The current price movements indicate where the consensus lies regarding the potential rushing performance of players in this matchup, and the market is dynamic, responding to news and analysis leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Washington versus San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage statistics, as reported by the official NFL data sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final results and any associated payouts after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would likely cause significant price movements. Changes in weather forecasts, as inclement weather can affect a team’s rushing strategy, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or team strategies could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could impact traders’ assessments of the likely rushing yardage totals.