TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Christian McCaffrey will achieve over 40 rushing yards in the Washington vs San Francisco professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to McCaffrey exceeding this yardage threshold. The market will resolve based on whether Kaelon Black records 25+ rushing yards in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep a close eye on the game itself, scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by player performance during that match and resolve by October 20, 2026.
Each market evaluates whether designated players reach specified rushing yard milestones in the Washington vs San Francisco game scheduled for Oct 19, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing yards they record during the game. All markets are independent, with resolution contingent solely on the named player’s rushing performance, irrespective of team or game results. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure a profit, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the likely performance of players in this matchup. Often, this market can provide a more accurate forecast than traditional methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market price reflects the collective prediction of all participants, and it’s constantly updating as new information becomes available. The most actively traded contracts indicate where the market currently sees the most probability.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Washington versus San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to the total combined rushing yards achieved by both teams in the game, as officially recorded. Traders holding contracts predicting the correct range of rushing yards will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also influence the market, as inclement weather often affects rushing offenses. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or player matchups could lead to traders adjusting their positions and moving the price of contracts in this market.