TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Christian McCaffrey achieves specific yardage milestones during an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. The focus is on his combined rushing and receiving yards, with different thresholds defining separate outcomes. The event provides a way to assess McCaffrey's performance expectations for that particular matchup.
The event evaluates Christian McCaffrey’s combined rushing and receiving yards in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026, across three sequential thresholds: 100+, 125+, and 150+ yards. For all thresholds, if McCaffrey is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once McCaffrey takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. The event is independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by public perception, this market can adjust rapidly as new information emerges and traders refine their forecasts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential results. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for the players in the Washington versus San Francisco game will be used to determine the outcome. Official statistics from the NFL will serve as the basis for verifying the final results. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official data release. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or San Francisco would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities, impacting the price of contracts in this market.