TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Washington vs San Francisco: Receptions Ladder
kalshi

What is the result of Washington vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$12,033

Christian McCaffrey

 - Kalshi

Christian McCaffrey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
45%
Yes 45¢No 55¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Stefon Diggs

View
30%
Yes 30¢No 70¢
—
N/A
$5,462
N/A
N/A
$4,742
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

George Kittle

View
25%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
—
N/A
$819
N/A
N/A
$445
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Mike Evans

View
15%
Yes 15¢No 85¢
—
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Terry McLaurin

View
5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
N/A
$4,721
N/A
N/A
$3,684
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. It focuses on how many times each player records a reception during the match. The outcome depends on the actual number of receptions each player achieves in the game.

Kalshi

The event comprises two separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s receptions in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the designated player, with the payout capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and adjust based on the actual number of receptions. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; if zero receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. The structure ensures that payouts remain balanced and directly reflect the player’s performance in the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL receptions ladder tracks the current prices for each player to exceed specific reception totals throughout the season. You can view the implied probabilities of each outcome, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $11,963. The total volume traded on this market is $11,970. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are valuing different players’ performance. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of the market’s expectations as new information becomes available.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. You may find that this market’s probabilities differ from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Sportsbooks are often influenced by public betting patterns, whereas this market is driven by individuals making independent assessments of player performance and potential. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed trading.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals for players. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability that a player will exceed that total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect a collective prediction. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final regular season reception statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which players exceeded the specified reception totals. The market will settle based on the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official NFL sources for updates and confirmation of the final statistics as the end of the season approaches.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key receivers will naturally shift expectations for other players. Changes in team offensive schemes or quarterback performance can also influence reception totals. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known players could drive up their contract prices. Additionally, news regarding player matchups or weather conditions could create movement in this market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.