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Washington vs San Francisco: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Washington vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$229,323

Christian McCaffrey

 - Kalshi

Christian McCaffrey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
27%
Yes 26.6¢No 73.4¢
—
N/A
$6,404
N/A
N/A
$4,767
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Stefon Diggs

View
8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$4,023
N/A
N/A
$3,847
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

George Kittle

View
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.5¢
—
N/A
$98,773
N/A
N/A
$74,665
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Mike Evans

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$1,183
N/A
N/A
$965
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Terry McLaurin

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,940
N/A
N/A
$111,499
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 5

Description

This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players during an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase progressively with each reception, following a predefined schedule, while 'No' contracts pay the remainder of the contract value after the 'Yes' payout is applied. The outcome is determined by official game statistics.

Kalshi

The event consists of two parallel scalar markets resolving based on the number of receptions achieved by George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, respectively, in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. For each player, 'Yes' contracts pay according to a non-linear schedule that increases with the number of receptions, capped at $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. The payout formula for 'Yes' contracts is calculated as floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official number of receptions. 'No' contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the corresponding 'Yes' payout. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player records at least one reception, with the exact payout determined by the reception count. The structure ensures that 'Yes' payouts grow exponentially with performance, while 'No' payouts decrease correspondingly. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular result. Comparing the implied probabilities from both can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception statistics for the Washington vs San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official, final reception totals as recorded by the league’s official statistics. The settlement will reflect which reception total range was actually achieved during the game, as defined by the contract specifications available on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a run-heavy game plan, could also impact expectations. Pre-game reports about defensive strategies or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or changes to the game plan could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market.