TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether Austin Ekeler will record 2 or more receptions in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Austin Ekeler achieving 2+ receptions. The market will resolve based on whether George Kittle records 8+ receptions in the game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 20, 2026, providing a definitive outcome based on player performance.
All markets resolve based on the official game statistics for receptions recorded by the specified players, George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 19, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Markets are structured around achieving specific reception thresholds (e.g., 3+, 4+, up to 13+ for Kittle, and 2+ to 10+ for McCaffrey), with each threshold defining a separate market outcome. The markets are independent, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if the player meets or exceeds the stated threshold for that specific market. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the public and professional bettors diverge in their expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official reception totals for the Washington versus San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception count, as reported by official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. Traders who correctly predicted the reception total will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of their purchase. This market provides a unique way to forecast the game’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and impact reception totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also contribute to volatility. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead traders to reassess their predictions.