TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. Participants bet on whether the designated player will achieve a certain level of receiving yards. The outcome depends directly on the actual statistics recorded during the game.
The event features two parallel scalar markets resolving based on receiving yards accumulated by George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026. Each market operates independently, with Yes contracts paying $0.0025 per receiving yard recorded up to a maximum payout of $1.00, capped at 400 yards. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size and constrained between $0.00 and $1.00. For instance, 80 receiving yards would yield a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, while zero yards would result in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. The structure ensures that total payouts for each contract type sum to $1.00, reflecting the inverse relationship between Yes and No outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy a contract, the price goes up, and when more people sell, the price goes down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective probability assessment of all participants. The current market depth and order flow are visible on the Kalshi dashboard, providing insights into trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for the players in question are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be the basis for determining which receiving yard ladder contracts payout. The resolution will reflect the actual receiving yards achieved during the specified game, as reported by the league's official sources. Traders will then be able to see which contracts settled in their favor and receive their payouts accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key wide receivers and tight ends are major catalysts, as their playing status directly affects potential yardage. Changes in weather conditions, particularly forecasts for heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could prompt traders to reassess their positions.