TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential performance of key players in an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. Participants can bet on whether specified players will achieve certain receiving yard milestones, with payouts scaling based on the exact yardage achieved. The structure rewards higher performance with progressively larger returns.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10 receiving yards achieved, up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise return, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y represents the adjusted yardage (capped at 200 and rounded down to the nearest 10). No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. If a player records negative receiving yards, Yes contracts pay $0.00. All markets are scalar-based and operate independently, with each resolving to Yes when the specified yardage conditions are met.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or interpretations of the event. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. This can be a valuable signal for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Washington and San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for each player will be used to determine the winning contracts. The final outcome will be determined by the official statistics released by the NFL, and the market will settle based on those figures. Traders should monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information regarding the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in quarterback performance or weather conditions expected during the game. Unexpected news about team strategies or defensive matchups could also shift expectations. Any significant updates regarding player availability or game-day conditions are likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 20, 2026.