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410,833
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether George Kittle will record 65+ receiving yards in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game. Currently, the probability of George Kittle achieving 65+ receiving yards is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on official game statistics, specifically if Mike Evans records 70+ receiving yards in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, as determined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 20, 2026.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records the exact receiving yard threshold or higher in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market settles strictly based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on internal models and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective on the probability of various outcomes than what is presented by sportsbooks. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of the actual receiving yards falling within that range, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yards for the specified players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total combined receiving yards achieved by the players in the Washington vs San Francisco game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would be a significant catalyst, as this directly impacts their potential yardage. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in defensive schemes could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player matchups or game plans could lead to substantial movement in the market.