TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming professional football game. It includes scenarios where neither team reaches the target score. The outcome depends purely on the scoring progression during the game, with specific rules for game postponements and fair price resolution if the game does not start on time.
The event determines the first team to score 28 points in the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026. If either Washington or San Francisco reaches 28 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 28 points first. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of exposure to that outcome. Market participants are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic and efficient price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team reaches 28 points first during the game between Washington and San Francisco. The final score, as officially recorded by the league, will be used to determine the winning team in this points race. Resolution will occur promptly after the game concludes and the results are officially available.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or San Francisco would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance during recent games, or adjustments to coaching strategies, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could all contribute to fluctuations in the odds. As the game approaches, any updates regarding team lineups or predicted playing time will be closely watched by traders.