TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between Washington and San Francisco. The outcome depends on whether designated players achieve certain yardage thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the specified passing yard threshold. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with the prediction market’s view than with initial sportsbook offerings, as they also represent aggregated opinions, though not necessarily with financial stakes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, injuries, and other factors, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total from the Washington versus San Francisco game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.