TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event links financial outcomes to the performance of selected players in an upcoming football game, using fantasy points as the basis for payout calculations. Participants can bet on whether specific players will achieve certain levels of statistical production, with returns scaling directly with the players' performance metrics.
All markets in this event use identical payout mechanics based on Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy scoring for designated players during the Washington vs San Francisco game scheduled for October 19, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.01 multiplied by the player’s weekly fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half-cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player’s fantasy points are not recorded by Sleeper for that week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout and $1.00 No payout. Payouts scale proportionally with contract positions, meaning a player scoring 31.4 points would yield a Yes payout of $0.31 and a No payout of $0.69, while 32.5 points would result in $0.33 Yes and $0.67 No. Negative points automatically default to the $0.00 Yes / $1.00 No outcome. All markets operate independently but follow this uniform structure for determining resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and insights. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like player news, injury reports, and overall team performance, all interpreted by those trading on the exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official fantasy football scoring data, determining which player or outcome achieved the highest fantasy point total as defined by standard scoring rules. The final prices on Kalshi will reflect the actual results, and contracts will pay out based on those final prices. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will not.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or San Francisco teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in player roles or coaching strategies could also move the market. Furthermore, performance in recent games, particularly strong or weak showings by relevant players, will influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable fantasy football experts could shift the probabilities reflected in the prices on Kalshi.