What is the result of Washington vs San Francisco?

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees an accurate prediction of the final score in the 4th quarter. Polling data often shows similar trends to what is reflected in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total score ranges for the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential score. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of a bet on a specific outcome, and the implied probability is derived from that price.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Washington versus San Francisco game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified by the platform. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that corresponds to the actual total points scored, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the game's conclusion.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Washington or San Francisco would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting conditions that favor either a high-scoring or low-scoring game. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, could also lead to rapid price adjustments. Unexpected announcements or developments related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market.