TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Washington and San Francisco during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Participants assess how offensive the teams might be in that specific quarter, with various thresholds determining different outcomes.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both Washington and San Francisco exclusively during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, meaning any points from the first, third, or fourth quarters are irrelevant for resolution. The thresholds range from 3.5 to 24.5 points, offering participants various levels of difficulty in predicting the scoring output. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own models and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. You may find that this market’s prices align with sportsbook odds if there’s broad agreement, but divergences can occur as new information emerges or different perspectives are considered. It’s a valuable exercise to compare the two to see where discrepancies lie and potentially identify opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a responsive indicator of expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the second quarter of the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the total points scored will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any relevant news leading up to the end of the second quarter to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in team strategy could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from either team during the first quarter could also lead to adjustments in the market. Furthermore, large volume trades or the emergence of new information could quickly move the price. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.