TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Washington and San Francisco specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to different thresholds for how much one team might outscore the other in that quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between Washington and San Francisco during the second quarter of the game scheduled for October 19, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if San Francisco wins the quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, the respective 'San Francisco wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Washington wins the quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, the corresponding 'Washington wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Only points scored during the second quarter count; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. The markets are independent, meaning each resolves based on its own threshold regardless of the outcomes of other markets. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and comparing them can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making regarding the NFL 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the implied probability of that spread occurring. Higher prices suggest a greater perceived likelihood, while lower prices indicate less confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and how they believe others will perceive the event, creating a dynamic price discovery process for the NFL 2nd quarter spread. This creates a real-time assessment of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Washington versus San Francisco game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the second quarter. The market will settle to 100 for the side of the spread that occurred and 0 for the other. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. This market’s outcome is based on official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or San Francisco teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift perceptions and affect the NFL 2nd quarter spread. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations.