TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two teams during the opening quarter of their matchup. It focuses solely on the points accumulated in the first 15 minutes of play, reflecting the potential for an explosive start or a tightly contested opening frame.
The event evaluates whether the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game scheduled for October 19, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any given market, if the combined score of both teams in the first quarter surpasses the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and the resolution is strictly based on the final score at the end of that quarter, without regard to any subsequent gameplay or adjustments.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving beliefs of the crowd, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different scenarios in the Washington vs San Francisco game. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first quarter total score from the Washington vs San Francisco game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Washington or San Francisco teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, reflected in analyst predictions or social media discussions, can contribute to shifts in the market price as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs.