TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether San Francisco will win the first half of their game against Washington by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of San Francisco winning the first half by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 87.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the Washington vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the first half score and will be finalized by the resolution date of 2026-10-20.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between Washington and San Francisco during the first half of their game scheduled for October 19, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's point advantage: if San Francisco wins by exceeding the stated margin, the corresponding 'San Francisco wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Washington wins by exceeding the stated margin, the corresponding 'Washington wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the first half are considered for resolution. No markets consider the full game outcome, overtime periods, or any post-first-half events. All markets are independent and resolve exclusively based on the specified half-game point differential thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market’s pricing to sportsbook lines can provide valuable insights into where the crowd sees value and potential mispricings, offering opportunities for informed trading decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the first half spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of Washington covering the spread against San Francisco.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official first half spread result of the Washington versus San Francisco game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The final spread will be compared against the market’s contract values to determine payouts for traders. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final result will impact your positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Washington or San Francisco would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can indicate informed activity and trigger further price adjustments as traders react to new information or perceived advantages.