TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Washington versus Purdue college football game will exceed 44.5 points. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 44.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Washington versus Purdue game, as defined by whether the teams collectively score more than 52.5 points, with details available from the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the originally scheduled game on October 16, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 17, 2026.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams in the Washington vs Purdue college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026, exceeds the specified threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have bet on.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though this market represents a unique view based on traders’ expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points falling within a specific range. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly the price adjusts to new information. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations regarding the final score.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total, as officially recorded by game officials, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total points value that matches the actual result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different total will settle at 0. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Purdue would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts could also move the market, especially if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing or scoring. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to the latest information.