TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns are scored through receptions rather than runs or defensive plays. It examines whether each team reaches certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns during the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of receiving touchdowns scored by Purdue and Washington in their college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of receiving touchdowns for either team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. Receiving touchdowns include those scored in overtime but exclude successful two-point conversions. A touchdown counts as a receiving touchdown only if the player who caught the pass also scores; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown, unless the original receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a large number of people believe a team is very likely to score a touchdown, the price will move accordingly, potentially creating a different probability assessment than what’s offered at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. A price of 50 indicates a 50% probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations you see on the dashboard. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether each team scores at least one touchdown during the Washington vs Purdue game. The official game results, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the results against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Purdue would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the likelihood of scoring. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will undoubtedly cause rapid price adjustments. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.