TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a college football game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. It centers on whether the game will extend beyond regulation time due to the need for additional periods to determine a winner. The outcome depends solely on the game's duration, not its result.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Washington vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's uncertainty or disagreement about key factors influencing the game. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a dynamic pricing model, adjusting prices based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven by the aggregated decisions of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Washington vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Washington or Purdue would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in team performance could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could also lead to noticeable movements in the market as traders adjust their predictions.