TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much either team wins by specifically in the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on performance during that period. Outcomes depend entirely on the point differential achieved in the fourth quarter, ignoring earlier moments of the match.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Purdue college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the winning point differential: Purdue must exceed 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, while Washington must exceed 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points to trigger a 'Yes' outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent and evaluated solely on fourth-quarter performance.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. However, there can be discrepancies. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to the prediction market price as more information becomes available and bettors on Kalshi weigh in on the likely outcome of the Washington vs Purdue fourth quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Washington will cover a particular spread, they will buy contracts at that spread, driving up the price. Conversely, if they believe Purdue will cover, they will sell, lowering the price.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the Washington vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the final spread. The winning contracts will reflect the actual difference in points between the two teams at the end of the fourth quarter, as determined by official sources.
Several factors could influence the Washington vs Purdue spread between now and Oct 17, 2026. Key player injuries on either team would significantly impact the market, as would any major coaching changes or shifts in team strategy. Unexpected news regarding player availability, such as suspensions or illness, could also cause price fluctuations. Even public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can influence trader behavior and move the market, particularly as the game draws closer and more information becomes available.