TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Washington and Purdue. It provides a way to bet on short-term performance rather than the overall game outcome. The resolution depends solely on the scoring during the designated quarter.
If Purdue wins the 2nd quarter of the Washington vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins the 2nd quarter of the Washington vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Washington vs Purdue college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning the second quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook lines, as traders react quickly to developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the potential 2nd quarter winner.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is leading after the second quarter of the Washington versus Purdue game. The official game results, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game would also likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Furthermore, major announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions leading up to the game could also move this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential trading opportunities before Oct 17, 2026.