TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between Washington and Purdue. It highlights the potential for momentum shifts and strategic adjustments that often occur after halftime. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, not the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second half (including overtime) of the Washington vs Purdue college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Purdue scores more second-half points, its market resolves to Yes. If Washington scores more second-half points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the second half, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the second half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of participants – traders in this market aim to accurately predict the outcome, while sportsbooks prioritize profitability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a consensus forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Washington will win the second half, they will buy contracts for that outcome, driving up the price, and vice versa for Purdue.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the second half of the Washington vs Purdue game will determine the settlement of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Live game events during the first half, such as a dominant performance by one team or key turnovers, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. Public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the Washington vs Purdue matchup. These factors all contribute to the dynamic pricing of this market.