TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Washington and Purdue will score together in the first quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold, so traders can bet on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Washington vs Purdue college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, such as injuries or weather reports, than sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, the total score falling within a specific range in the first quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving beliefs of the crowd regarding the likely result of the Washington vs Purdue game's opening quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total score for the first quarter of the Washington vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts predicting over or under a certain point total will pay out. Traders will be able to see their positions settled based on this verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Purdue would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.