TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:46 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Washington and Purdue. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Washington vs Purdue college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can serve as a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can highlight potential value opportunities for traders in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first half total will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the total will be higher, the price of ‘over’ contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price accurately represents the probability of different outcomes, as perceived by the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first half total score of the Washington vs Purdue game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will receive their payouts based on the final result, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Purdue would be a major catalyst, as this directly affects scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could lead to changes in volume and price in this market.