TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New Orleans will win their professional basketball game against Washington, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026. Currently, the probability of New Orleans winning on Kalshi is 90.0%, while Washington winning stands at 11.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Washington vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep a close eye on October 16, 2026, as the result of this game will determine the market’s outcome.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Washington vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The market is separate from the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game's outcome, potentially leading to different probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to late-breaking news or shifts in public sentiment, offering a potentially more up-to-date assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Washington vs New Orleans game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of the collective forecast. The goal is to express your view on the outcome and profit from correctly anticipating the result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Washington vs New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any major news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington or New Orleans teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant public betting patterns could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also lead to rapid adjustments in the market price, reflecting the updated probabilities of each possible outcome.