TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Washington vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold, and 'No' otherwise.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored by Washington and Nebraska. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations, influenced by a wide range of information and perspectives. The current market indicates what traders collectively believe will happen.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored by both the Washington and Nebraska teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions shortly after the game concludes and the official scores are verified.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Nebraska would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment based on new information or analysis.