TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether a specific team will achieve a designated point differential in the final quarter of a college football game. Outcomes depend entirely on scoring dynamics during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a different point threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that margin by the end of the quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No overtime points factor into any resolution calculations.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in how each assesses the teams. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the Washington vs Nebraska game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the Washington vs Nebraska spread between now and game day. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate.