TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of an upcoming college football game between Washington and Nebraska. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the game. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during the third quarter of play.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Washington vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Nebraska scores the most points in that quarter, the Nebraska market resolves to Yes. If Washington scores the most points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders buying and selling contracts based on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will rise in this market. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook lines in accuracy, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 3rd quarter will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. It’s important to note that the market will close prior to the end of the game to prevent any last-minute manipulation or uncertainty, allowing for a clear and definitive outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Nebraska would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price fluctuations, reflecting a sudden shift in market sentiment. Public polling data, while not directly influencing the market, may also provide insight into broader expectations.