TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Nebraska, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Nebraska, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to make correct forecasts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The market's efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, leading to a potentially more accurate prediction than traditional methods. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on Predict.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Washington vs. Nebraska game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual event outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict once the event has concluded and the results are officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related games or changes in public perception of team strengths could all contribute to price movements. As the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis will likely have a more pronounced effect on the market.