TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Washington or Nebraska in the second half of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Washington vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For markets where Nebraska is the favorite, resolution occurs if Nebraska wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where Washington is the favorite, resolution occurs if Washington wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official final result of the second half. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price adjusts based on collective belief. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information as it becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the Washington-Nebraska game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and produce a forecast based on the collective judgment of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second half of the Washington-Nebraska game will be the determining factor. The platform will use official game statistics to determine the winner and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the Washington-Nebraska spread. Injury reports for key players on either team would be significant, as would any late-breaking news regarding team strategy or weather conditions. In-game performance during the first half could also shift expectations and drive trading activity. Unexpected changes in team momentum, key turnovers, or significant scoring plays could all contribute to movements in this market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role, though the market’s price will ultimately be determined by trader behavior on Kalshi.