TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Nebraska, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Washington and Nebraska, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. This market will resolve to "Nebraska" if Nebraska win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Polls and analysts' predictions often align more closely with the prediction market's assessment than sportsbook lines, as they focus on forecasting the outcome rather than setting prices to profit from imbalances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Washington vs. Nebraska game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location could also play a role, as could major shifts in public perception or expert analysis. Large trading volume from informed traders could also indicate a change in sentiment, potentially driving price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.