TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:53 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the combined number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL game exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring or low-scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official game result, including any overtime goals, with shootouts contributing one goal to the winner.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Washington vs Nashville NHL game scheduled for October 29, 2026, with each market corresponding to a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 9.5 goals). Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and any overtime periods. If the game concludes via a shootout, the shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect market resolution; the markets will close and resolve according to the final official result once the game is played. If the game is cancelled or fails to commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the outcome.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd'. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, whereas this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster in response to breaking news, such as a key player injury. It's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with this market often converging towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing whether the total goals scored in the Washington vs. Nashville game will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief about the likely total goals. The closer the game gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and opinions shift. The current price represents the cost to enter a position on either side of the market.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Washington Capitals versus Nashville Predators game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' (over) or 'no' (under) outcome prevails. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for the total goals scored. The market will then settle based on whether the actual total exceeds or falls short of the implied threshold represented by the market price.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Capitals or the Predators would likely cause price movement. Changes in goaltending matchups, particularly if a starting goalie is ruled out, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or potential lineup changes could also influence traders. Furthermore, general hockey news and analysis, as well as public sentiment, can all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts for this market. A significant scoring performance in a previous game by either team could also affect predictions.