TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:25 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Washington State vs. San Diego State.
Exact margin markets for Washington State vs. San Diego State.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point differentials in the Washington State vs. San Diego State game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current belief about the probability of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency stems from the ability of participants to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the outcome, leading to a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential between Washington State and San Diego State, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, and the market will close once the outcome is definitively established and verified.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Key factors include any news regarding injuries to star players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in public perception based on recent game performance. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also influence the margin, as could late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts. Major betting activity or large trades within this market itself can also cause price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader confidence and expectations.