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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,605,027,424
484,805
Markets across
36,640
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,879
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Washington will win their college football game against Washington State by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 92.0% probability to Washington winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the final score of the Washington St. vs Washington game, as determined by the official result if Washington wins by more than 16.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 6, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by the final margin of victory on that date.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Washington vs Washington State college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026. If Washington wins by more than the specified margin in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. If significant differences emerge, it may indicate that the crowd perceives the event differently than the sportsbook, or that one market has attracted more informed traders. It’s a good practice to compare both to gain a broader perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more the prices will likely converge towards the true outcome, though volatility can increase with new developments. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the spread and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Washington State versus Washington football game. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available data to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the Washington State vs. Washington spread market. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in coaching strategy or team performance during other games could also shift sentiment. News regarding weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived advantage for either team. Finally, any major news or controversies surrounding the teams or players could introduce volatility and affect trading activity in this market.