TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total points scored in the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game, specifically whether the combined score will exceed 26.5 points. Currently, the probability of the game scoring Over 26.5 points on Kalshi is 86.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 9, 2026, as the final score at the end of regulation will determine the outcome of this market and resolve by the estimated date of October 10, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total combined points scored by both teams in the Washington State vs Utah State college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For any market, if the collective points exceed the specified threshold (e.g., Over 26.5 points, Over 27.5 points, etc.), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartial treatment for all participants regardless of individual threshold selections.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously taking opposing positions in the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The current price represents the probability of the total points being *below* that number. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likely total score.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Washington State vs Utah State game will be used to determine which contracts settle at $100. Contracts representing a total points value *below* the actual total will pay out $100, while those above will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Washington State or Utah State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.