TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:25 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different scoring threshold for either team, allowing participants to speculate on whether the team will exceed that specific point total.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Utah State and Washington State in their college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the designated threshold (e.g., Utah State over 9.5 points), that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of when or if the game occurs.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, providing a dynamic representation of expectations for the Washington State and Utah State game. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating whether the actual team totals will exceed or fall short of the contract prices.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Washington State and Utah State, as officially recorded by the governing sports organization, will determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts win. The resolution will be based on the official scores reported after the completion of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Washington State or Utah State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also lead to price adjustments. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could move this market as traders react to new information.