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410,482
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 10, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between Washington State and Utah State. It focuses solely on performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on who holds the scoring advantage in that specific segment of the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the fourth quarter of regulation play in the Washington State vs. Utah State college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If either Washington State or Utah State finishes the fourth quarter with more points than their opponent, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If both teams finish the quarter tied, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. All outcomes consider only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation, with overtime points excluded from evaluation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information available to traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the game's outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they are continuously updated based on actual trading activity. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they diverge significantly from the current price in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the 4th quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential result. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicating the strength of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Washington State vs Utah State game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance during the earlier quarters of the game will likely have a significant impact, as traders react to the evolving dynamics. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.