TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Washington State and Utah State. It evaluates whether one team will dominate the other by a certain margin of points during a particular quarter of play.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Washington State and Utah State exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, with outcomes ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential outcome.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the teams' strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which drives the price fluctuations. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-quarter spread of the Washington State vs. Utah State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports organization. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread, based on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game. News regarding key player injuries for either Washington State or Utah State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the style of play favored by either team, could also shift the odds. Additionally, any significant news related to team morale, coaching changes, or unexpected developments in team performance could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.