TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams in the second half of an upcoming college football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific rules for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (including overtime) of the specified college football game. For each market, if the combined second-half points exceed the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds as more information becomes available and more people participate. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still exist due to differing risk appetites and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts representing the final outcome. The current price reflects the probability that a particular outcome will occur, as assessed by the collective actions of traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Washington State versus Utah State game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the market’s threshold. Official game statistics from a reputable source will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Washington State or Utah State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical projections, could influence trader behavior and alter the price. Unexpected performance during the first half of the game will also be a major catalyst.