TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in the first quarter of their game, focusing specifically on the margin of victory for either team. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will dominate early in the game by a certain point differential.
If Utah St. wins by more than 10.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah St. wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah St. wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins by more than 10.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public sentiment and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. Over time, these odds may converge as new information becomes available, but initial discrepancies are common. It’s possible to see differences in how each assesses the probability of various outcomes in the first quarter of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the Washington State vs Utah State game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, leading to potentially more informative odds than traditional sources.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final first-quarter spread of the Washington State vs Utah State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contract, corresponding to a specific point spread, accurately reflects the actual result of the first quarter. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington State or Utah State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift expectations. Even public perception, driven by social media or expert analysis, can play a role in shaping the price of contracts in this market.