TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various thresholds of points scored in the first half of a college football game between Washington State and Utah State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting the potential pace and intensity of the game's early stages.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the Washington St. versus Utah St. college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold; if the combined first-half score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half and are unaffected by any scoring occurring in the second half.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event’s probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total score in the first half will be over or under a certain number. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Washington St. vs Utah St. game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were above or below the threshold defined by the market. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington St. or Utah St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in the market price.