TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Washington State and Utah State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during the first half of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Washington State vs Utah State college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins by more than the stated point differential in the first half, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No markets consider the full game outcome or second-half performance. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information available to traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. It's common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, the prices in this market often converge with those offered by sportsbooks, especially if there's significant trading activity and public information available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the first half of the Washington State vs. Utah State game. Traders bid on contracts representing their belief that the actual spread will be in favor of that outcome, and ask for contracts if they believe the opposite will happen. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half spread of the Washington State vs. Utah State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics and reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or Utah State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.